non accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) improves on univariate methods as the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter …

that this may have contributed to more elastic aggregate supply in recent years, which is consistent with lower inflation …

unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since …-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years …

Inflation dynamics, as well as its interaction with unemployment, have been puzzling since the Global Financial Crisis … forecast scenarios. We show that financial and external variables have the highest forecasting power for inflation and … unemployment, post-GFC …

Low rates of inflation have been recorded in recent years, despite a decline in the unemployment rate. This phenomenon … explain the recent behavior of inflation. A leading explanation for recent inflation performance appears to be favorable price …

relates average unemployment to average wage inflation; the curve is virtually vertical for high inflation rates but becomes …, at low inflation. Fourth, when inflation decreases, volatility of unemployment increases whereas the volatility of … inflation decreases: this implies a long-run trade-off also between the volatility of unemployment and that of wage inflation …

We study inflation dynamics in Colombia using a bottom-up Phillips curve approach. This allows us to capture the … different drivers of individual inflation components. We find that the Phillips curve is relatively flat in Colombia but steeper … dynamics are important for non-tradable goods. We show that besides allowing for a more detailed understanding of inflation …

-market slack is captured by the level of shortterm unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including … the failure of high total unemployment since 2008 to reduce inflation greatly. The fit of our equation is especially good … Phillips curve in which core inflation depends on short-term unemployment and on expected inflation as measured by the Survey …

inflation-unemployment process. The results provide some evidence in favor of the Lucas critique by showing that the short …-run unemployment-inflation trade-off tends to improve in countries that are successful in providing low and stable inflation …