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The paper estimates two time-varying parameter models of Chilean inflation: a Phillips curve model and a small open …; forecasts that include the pre-announced inflation target as a regressor are relatively better; the Phillips curve model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400160
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614975
proportionally to inflation. We show that conditions under which these rules generate aggregate instability by inducing liquidity … that respond to expected future inflation are more prone to induce endogenous cyclical and chaotic dynamics the more open …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396553
flexible prices. Second, under the optimal policy the volatility of non-tradable inflation is close to zero. Third, stabilizing … nontradable inflation is optimal regardless of the financial structure of the small open economy. Even for a moderate degree of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399992
increases in domestic inflation. We show that one way to understand these episodes is as manifestations of balance of payments … accelerating fashion and, if the government targets CPI inflation, by fast increasing domestic inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404291
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009419787
We compare the long-term output and current account effects of pension reforms that increase the retirement age with those of reforms that cut pension benefits, conditional on reforms achieving similar fiscal targets. We show the presence of a policy trade-off. Pension reforms that increase the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012671560
The structural model in this paper proposes a micro-founded framework that incorporates an active banking sector with an oil-producing sector. The primary goal of adding a banking sector is to examine the role of an interbank market on shocks, introduce a national development fund and study its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932399
This paper develops a small open economy model where global and domestic liquidity is intermediated to the corporate sector through two financial processes. Investment banks intermediate cross-border credit through interlinked debt contracts to entrepreneurs and commercial banks intermediate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932538
differences in impulse responses from the original model. Advantages in a forecasting environment owing to the ability to impose …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401866