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This paper surveys the theoretical and empirical literature on the relationship between taxation and public expenditure … and economic growth. Particular attention is paid to the effect of taxation and government expenditure on the supply and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400103
Monthly economic indicators support policy analysis of current economic developments and forecasting. This paper presents an overview of the data and statistical requirements to develop those indicators taking into account resource constraints that LIC typically face. We review statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012252734
elasticities on a sample of 72 countries for real GDP and 28 countries for oil GDP over 6 years, I derive oil and non-oil GDP … growth for Yemen. I show that real GDP contracted by a cumulative 24 percent over 2015-17 against 50 percent according to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012122483
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009419774
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010388849
In this paper we propose a novel approach to obtain the predictive density of global GDP growth. It hinges upon a … bottom-up probabilistic model that estimates and combines single countries' predictive GDP growth densities, taking into … individual countries' densities into a world aggregate while preserving the non-i.i.d. nature of the global GDP growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251413
-shaped relationship between the shadow economy size and GDP per capita. Our results imply that the shadow economy tends to increase when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009455
This paper seeks to illuminate the uncertainty in official GDP per capita measures using auxiliary data. Using … satellite-recorded nighttime lights as an additional measurement of true GDP per capita, we provide a statistical framework, in … which the error in official GDP per capita may depend on the country's statistical capacity and the relationship between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012019789
This paper takes stock of the global economic recovery a decade after the 2008 financial crisis. Output losses after the crisis appear to be persistent, irrespective of whether a country suffered a banking crisis in 2007-08. Sluggish investment was a key channel through which these losses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012019853
This paper investigates the sensitivity of Latin American GDP growth to external developments using a Bayesian VAR … Latin American variables. It finds that 50 to 60 percent of the variation in Latin American GDP growth is accounted for by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400218