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This paper investigates possible drivers of volatility in the South African rand since the onset of the global … financial crisis. We assess the role played by local and international economic surprises, commodity price volatility, global … market risk perceptions, and local political uncertainty. As a measure of rand volatility, the study uses a market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011715523
Even prior to the extreme volatility just observed, output growth volatility-following protracted decline … country to transmit rapidly to other countries, creating the potential for heightened global volatility. The higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402815
This paper examines volatility spillovers from mature to emerging stock markets and tests for changes in the … transmission mechanism-contagion-during turbulences in mature markets. Tri-variate GARCH-BEKK models of returns in global (mature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401286
This paper, using T-GARCH models, finds that the United States has been the major source of price and volatility … ""stock market correction"" period. There is also evidence of structural breaks in the stock price and volatility dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399563
We examine the spillover effects between sovereigns and banks in a model with a heterogeneous banking system. An increase in sovereign's default risk affects financial intermediaries through two channels in this model. First, banks' funding costs might increase, inducing higher interest rates on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009433
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