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This paper develops a practical model-based forecasting and policy analysis system (FPAS) to support a transition to an inflation forecast targeting regime in Sri Lanka. The FPAS model provides a relatively good forecast for inflation and a framework to evaluate policy trade-offs. The model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400863
We estimate a vector error correction (VEC) model for Sri Lanka to determine the response of remittance receipts to macroeconomic shocks. This is the first attempt of its kind in the literature. We find that remittance receipts are procyclical and decline when the island''s currency weakens,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403018
The "Great Trade Collapse" triggered by the 2008-09 crisis calls for a careful assessment of the trade losses from financial crises. We adopt a more detailed perspective by looking at the response of different types of trade (i.e. agricultural, mining, and manufactured goods, and services)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012610647
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009572370
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392541
China and Australia have increasingly strong links, especially through trade. These are driven by demand from China for … Australian commodities (coal and iron ore) and services (tourism and education). These links are influenced by China's transition …, three risks (both upside and downside) to China during this transition process are considered, focusing on their spillovers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011866353
The analysis of China's impacts on the 44 SSA countries reveals that: (i) after joining the WTO in 2001, China has … started to impact significantly on SSA growth: one-percent increase in China's GDP per capita leads to 0.02 percent increase … on the SSA's GDP per capita; (ii) oil and investment-goods exporters benefit more from China's growth; (iii) compared to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011781254
Asia and China made disproportionate contributions to the slowdown of global trade growth in 2015. China's import … point to weak investment and rebalancing as the main causes of the import slowdown. Spillover effects from China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011711412
Although the rest of the world had waited a long time for China to open up, feelings were mixed when it actually did … (WTO), many of its trading partners are increasingly concerned that China’s competition in the world goods and capital … markets may adversely affect their own growth prospects. This paper examines the implications of China’s WTO accession for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403900