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In this paper, we provide compelling evidence that cyclical factors account for the bulk of the post-2007 decline in the U.S. labor force participation rate. We then proceed to formulate a stylized New Keynesian model in which labor force participation is essentially acyclical during “normal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012667415
The negative and stable relationship between an economy's aggregate demand conditions and overall unemployment is well …-documented. We show that there is a large degree of heterogeneity in the cyclical sensitivities of unemployment across worker and … economy groups. First, unemployment is more than twice as sensitive to aggregate demand in advanced as in emerging market and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796190
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011281614
unemployment and debt. The paper illustrates in a downside scenario, how low potential growth and crisis legacies leave the euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011436794
The paper uses a large survey (GSOEP) to analyze the labor market performance of immigrants in Germany. It finds that new immigrant workers earn on average 20 percent less than native workers with otherwise identical characteristics. The gap is smaller for immigrants from advanced countries,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011436800
employment, unemployment, and economic growth in OECD countries. The paper examines a number of facets of tax and welfare policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400072
that if annual GDP growth averages 7 percent and the employment elasticity is one-half, urban unemployment could double to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403994
The U.S. labor force participation rate (LFPR) fell dramatically following the Great Recession and has yet to start recovering. A key question is how much of the post-2007 decline is reversible, something which is central to the policy debate. The key finding of this paper is that while around...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014412024
This paper argues that the sharp increase in unemployment in a number of advanced countries during the Great Recession … was large-scale labor shedding, which boosted labor productivity but also contributed to a sharp rise in unemployment. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011408256
This paper investigates the relationship between economic growth and job creation in developing economies with a focus on low and lower middle-income countries along two dimensions: growth patterns and short-run correlations. Analysis on growth patterns shows that regime changes are quite common...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011763747