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methodology for the empirical evaluation of consistency in central bank communication. We find that the three communication tools … consistent message in five out of six observations in our 2000-05 sample of Chile, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Thailand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401995
Anchoring of inflation expectations is of paramount importance for central banks' ability to deliver stable inflation and minimize price dispersion. Relying on daily interest rates and inflation forecasts from major financial institutions in the United States, we calculate monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392613
Many argue that improvements in monetary policy frameworks in emerging market economies over the past few decades, have made them more resilient to external shocks. This paper exploits the May 2013 taper tantrum in the United States to study the reaction of 18 large emerging markets to an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012010090
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009419634
The paper extends a standard semi-structural model to account for nonlinear and asymmetric effects of monetary policy credibility. In our setting, central bank credibility is proportional to the deviation of inflation expectations from the announced inflation target, with positive deviations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391944
This study examines the macroeconomic determinants of survey inflation expectations in Brazil since the adoption of inflation targeting in 1999. The results suggest that the inflation targeting framework has helped anchor expectations, with the dispersion of inflation expectations declining...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400848
Money has only limited information value for future inflation in Ghana over a typical monetary policy implementation horizon (four to eight quarters). On the other hand, currency depreciation and demand pressures (as measured by the output gap) are shown to be important predictors of future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397412
This paper highlights that central banks from Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, and Peru (the LA5 countries) reaped the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402930
We offer a novel methodology for assessing the quality of inflation reports. In contrast to the existing literature, which mostly evaluates the formal quality of these reports, we evaluate their economic content by comparing inflation factors reported by the central banks with ex-post...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014411339
targets for inflation. Using the recent experience of Colombia between 2004 and 2007, this paper examines the effectiveness of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401751