A large share of cross-country differences in productivity is explained by differences in agricultural productivity … productivity differences …

This paper estimates agricultural total factor productivity (TFP) in 162 countries between 1991 and 2015 and aims to …

improve the precision of macroeconomic forecasting, especially in areas with data constraints. This paper investigates whether … travel-related online search queries enhance accuracy in the forecasting of tourist arrivals to The Bahamas from the U.S. The … results indicate that the forecast model incorporating internet search data provides additional information about tourist …

model with endogenously determined policy credibility and an effective lower bound is developed for forecasting and policy …

National Bank of Rwanda (BNR) modernized monetary policy and transited to the price-based policy framework in January … 2019. The Forecasting and Policy Analysis System (FPAS) is the cornerstone for the new forward-looking framework, which … mobilizes and organizes resources and sets processes for regular forecasting rounds. The core of this system is a structural …

time, industry-level analysis suggests ample scope to raise productivity, especially in services where productivity gains …

documents of the following years to understand the evolution of fiscal forecast errors. Our findings suggest that: (i) for most … terms of drivers, we show that forecast errors for the fiscal balance-to-GDP ratio are positively correlated with GDP growth … and terms of trade changes and negatively with GDP deflator surprises; (iv) forecast errors for public debt-to-GDP ratios …