using the M3 money supply aggregated across “core ERM” countries- -those with low inflation and absence of realignments- -as … France and Germany separately. Second, the predictive power of the core-ERM aggregate relative to French and German inflation … is examined; it is shown that the aggregate helps to predict German inflation, over and above the predictive power of …

Despite closing output gaps and tightening labor markets, inflation has remained low in the euro area. Based on an … augmented Phillips Curve framework, we find that this phenomenon-sometimes attributed to low global inflation-has been primarily … caused by a remarkable persistence of inflation, keeping it low despite the reduction in slack. This feature is shown to be …

Do euro area inflation expectations remain well-anchored? This paper finds that the protracted period of low (and below …-target) inflation in the euro area since 2013 has weakened their anchoring. Testing their sensitivity to inflation and macroeconomic … news, this paper expands existing results in two key dimensions. First, by analyzing all available (advanced) inflation …

This paper''s analysis of growth and inflation dispersions in the euro area reveals several findings. First, these …

While inflation differentials in a monetary union can be benign, reflecting a catch-up process, or an adjustment … domestic product and labor markets that amplify or make more persistent the impact of shocks on inflation. The paper examines … the determinants of inflation differentials in the euro area, with emphasis on the role of country specific labor and …

This paper explores inflation determinants within the EU and implications for new members'' euro adoption plans. Factor … analysis partitions observed inflation in EU25 countries into common-origin and country-specific (idiosyncratic) components …. Cross-country differences in common-origin inflation within the EU are found to depend on gaps in the initial price level …