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This paper considers the problem of jointly decomposing a set of time series variables into cyclical and trend components, subject to sets of stochastic linear restrictions among these cyclical and trend components. We derive a closed form solution to an ordinary problem featuring homogeneous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978601
The existing literature suggests a number of alternative methods to test for the presence of contagion during financial market crises. This paper reviews those methods and shows how they are related in a unified framework. A number of extensions are also suggested that allow for multivariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401432
We analyse optimal monetary and fiscal policy in a New-Keynesian model with public debt and inflation persistence … striking result is not true with high degrees of inflation persistence. Secondly, we show that optimal fiscal policy is more … active under discretion than commitment at all degrees of inflation persistence and all levels of debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399841
where inflation converges to the FOMC's two percent target. It is applicable to any country with an inflation targeting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299370
examine the output gap’s usefulness. The results suggest that although output gap uncertainty leads to more inflation and … policy based only on observable inflation and output growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403496
This paper shows that the presence of quotas on imported inputs that are based on installed capacity can lead to capacity underutilization in manufacturing industries of developing countries. A replacement of such quotas, by tariffs leads to full capacity utilization under assumptions of both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396017
Potential output estimation plays a crucial role in conducting fiscal policy based on structural balances. Difficulties in estimating potential output could lead to an erroneous policy stance with a consequent impact on growth. This paper analyzes historical data on revisions of actual and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014411391
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009425667
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009486197
We examine the effects of various borrower-based macroprudential tools in a New Keynesian environment where both real and nominal interest rates are low. Our model features long-term debt, housing transaction costs and a zero-lower bound constraint on policy rates. We find that the long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251966