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We study inflation dynamics in Colombia using a bottom-up Phillips curve approach. This allows us to capture the … different drivers of individual inflation components. We find that the Phillips curve is relatively flat in Colombia but steeper … dynamics are important for non-tradable goods. We show that besides allowing for a more detailed understanding of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011852615
This paper examines whether expansionary credit policy can help sustain output growth in transition economies, with particular reference to Ukraine’s experience since 1992. We find that, while real credit growth is indeed associated with higher output growth, an increase in the growth rate of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395883
non accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) improves on univariate methods as the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404073
This paper examines the recent behavior of core inflation in the United States. We specify a simple Phillips curve … based on the assumptions that inflation expectations are fully anchored at the Federal Reserve’s target, and that labor …-market slack is captured by the level of shortterm unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011281898
advanced Europe, where wages are more closely related to inflation and inflation expectations in the short run, implying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102142
the model's output gap as a benchmark, we further show that common output gap estimation methods exhibit a systematic bias …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012103632
Estimates of potential output and the neutral short-term interest rate play important roles in policy making. However, such estimates are associated with significant uncertainty and subject to significant revisions. This paper extends the structural multivariate filter methodology by adding a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011878377
attributed to low inflation expectations and low productivity growth. There is no evidence - from either aggregate or micro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012155220
Previous tests for convexity in the Phillips curve have been biased because researchers have employed filtering techniques for the NAIRU that have been fundamentally inconsistent with the existence of convexity. This paper places linear and nonlinear models of the Phillips curve on an equal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397807
that this may have contributed to more elastic aggregate supply in recent years, which is consistent with lower inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012302067