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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009419717
Commodity prices have declined sharply over the past three years, and output growth has slowed considerably among countries that are net exporters of commodities. A critical question for policy makers in these economies is whether commodity windfalls influence potential output. Our analysis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435808
We examine the relationship between South African Rand and gold price volatility using monthly data for the period 1980 … volatility but the causality runs the other way around for the post-liberalization period. These findings suggest that gold price … volatility plays a key role in explaining both the excessive exchange rate volatility and current disproportionate share of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012694114
secular trend and the short run volatility. To do so, we employ 25 series, some of them starting as far back as 1650 and … investigating the dynamics of the volatility of the 25 relative primary commodity prices also allowing for endogenous multiple … breaks. We describe the often time-varying volatility in commodity prices and show that it has increased in recent years …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012667514
1957-98 were associated with periods of lower real commodity price volatility. These stabilizing effects are statistically … Euro on January 1, 1999, should be expected to contribute to reduced volatility of world commodity prices, other things …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403475
This paper assesses the role of international commodity prices, cyclical fluctuations, and convergence in driving inflation in 18 European emerging economies. Country specific VARs and panel estimates indicate that international commodity price shocks have a significant impact on domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404293
This paper investigates the relationship between the nominal exchange rate regime and the volatility of relative … for primary commodities, the volatility of relative commodity prices rises when exchange rate uncertainty increases. If …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401290
This paper studies the volatility of commodity prices on the basis of a large dataset of monthly prices observed in … evidence does not actually attempt to measure the volatility of prices of individual goods or commodities. Rather the … literature tends to focus on trends in the evolution and volatility of ratios of price indexes composed of multiple commodities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397409
This paper presents a neoclassical model that explains the observed empirical relationship between government spending and world commodity supplies and the real exchange rate and real commodity prices. It is shown that fiscal expansion and increasing world commodity supplies simultaneously lead...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396210
This paper studies the impact of the level and volatility of the commodity terms of trade on economic growth, as well … of trade growth enhances real output per capita, volatility exerts a negative impact on economic growth operating mainly … trade volatility offset the positive impact of commodity booms; and export diversification of primary commodity abundant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396933