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Our paper examines the effect of oil price changes on Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets using nonlinear smooth transition regression (STR) models. Contrary to conventional wisdom, our empirical results reveal that GCC stock markets do not have similar sensitivities to oil price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011852573
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009425646
GSIBs and GSIIs, using publicly-available daily equity returns and intra-day volatility data from October 2007 to August … 2016. Results reveal strong regional clusters of return and volatility connectedness amongst GSIBs and GSIIs. Compared to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011743090
pricing securities, and the relationship between returns and conditional volatility. GARCH(p,q)-M models estimated for the … returns to exhibit volatility clustering; and a significant positive link between risk and returns, which was significantly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403463
We study equity price volatility in general equilibrium with news shocks about future productivity and monetary policy … asset price volatility. We show that introducing news shocks in a canonical dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model may … not reduce asset price volatility under plausible parameter assumptions. This is because, in general equilibrium, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399366
The literature on leverage until now shows how an increase in volatility reduces leverage. However, in order to explain … pro-cyclical leverage it assumes that bad news increases volatility. This paper suggests a reason why bad news is more … often than not associated with higher future volatility. We show that, in a model with endogenous leverage and heterogeneous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395754
Volatility in financial markets has forced economists to reexamine the validity of the efficient markets hypothesis … studies have found evidence of excessive volatility. In the aftermath of the stock market crash of 1987 and the perceived … increase in market volatility, some economists have advocated additional market regulations. Are these proposed regulations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395913
The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, including balance of payments, monetary and fiscal issues, global liquidity, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395952
This paper, using T-GARCH models, finds that the United States has been the major source of price and volatility … ""stock market correction"" period. There is also evidence of structural breaks in the stock price and volatility dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399563
Statistical measures of the volatility of exchange rates, interest rates, and stock prices are estimated for a number … of countries. Periods of high volatility are identified and compared with periods of financial difficulty. The results … indicate that GARCH models of volatility could be potentially useful in assessing financial soundness. Daily data are more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399985