.S. auto tariffs. The second analyzes a 'transactional deal' between the U.S. and China to close their bilateral deficit. The … third, in the absence of such a deal, considers a potential escalation in bilateral tariffs between the two countries. Some …

of an agreement, which cuts tariffs by one percentage point, is 0.5% to 2% of consumption, much larger than in trade …

This paper empirically investigates the impact of tariffs when production is organized in global value chains. Using … tariffs at different stages of the production chain for a broad set of countries and industries. Our results suggest that … tariffs have significant effects on economic outcomes, including on countries and sectors not directly targeted. We find that …

In this paper we demonstrate the importance of distinguishing capital goods tariffs from other tariffs. Using exposure … reduction in intermediate and consumption input or output tariffs do not significantly increase their investment rates. However …, firms' investment rate increase strongly in response to a reduction in capital goods input tariffs. Firms do not substitute …

We study the macroeconomic consequences of tariffs. We estimate impulse response functions from local projections using …. The effects on output and productivity tend to be magnified when tariffs rise during expansions, for advanced economies …, and when tariffs go up, not down. Our results are robust to a large number of perturbations to our methodology, and we …

bilateral distance, tariffs, and the quality of their exports. Under the assumption that trade costs are both ad valorem and per … unit, our model predicts that markups rise with distance and fall with tariffs, but these effects are heterogeneous and are …

trade policy - particularly the tariffs placed on imports from China - on importers, consumers, and exporters. We start by … documenting that the tariffs were almost fully passed through to total prices paid by importers, suggesting the tariffs' incidence … several large multi-national retailers, we demonstrate that the impact of the tariffs on retail prices is more mixed. Some …