Showing 1 - 10 of 1,392
During 2001-07, increases in mature market volatility were associated with declines in forex returns for East Asian … increase in mature market equity volatility generated an exchange rate depreciation of up to 1⁄2 percent. This sensitivity rose …"" volatility in forex markets. Long-run forex volatility declined as Asian economies settled down with generally stronger …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401382
frequency volatility—i.e., the component of volatility that persists for longer than one harvest year—may be more challenging as … uncertainty regarding its persistence is likely to be higher. This paper measures the low frequency volatility of food commodity … spot prices using the spline- GARCH approach. It finds that low frequency volatility is positively correlated across …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402681
rate risk in the market (i.e. high volatility). Market impairment or overshoot of exchange rate between two equilibria … could generate high volatility and threaten financial stability due to unhedged exposure to exchange rate risk in the … than other rules, such as fixed-volatility rules. The empirical methodology is backtested on Banco Mexico's FXIs data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518276
(RBA) have had on the level and volatility of the Australian dollar exchange rate. First, using an event study we evaluate … Australian dollar. Second, we investigate the effects of RBA intervention policies on exchange rate volatility over the floating … volatility, which suggests that official intervention may have added to market uncertainty. Overall, the effects of RBA …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403823
explore this question by comparing long-run volatility trends in CEE currencies and the euro. We find that these trends are … euro. Spillovers of volatility across regional markets appear to have diminished over time, with the exception of the … Hungarian forint, which remains a source of volatility shocks to regional currencies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404235
This paper, using T-GARCH models, finds that the United States has been the major source of price and volatility … ""stock market correction"" period. There is also evidence of structural breaks in the stock price and volatility dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399563
Using realized volatility to estimate conditional variance of financial returns, we compare forecasts of volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399678
Statistical measures of the volatility of exchange rates, interest rates, and stock prices are estimated for a number … of countries. Periods of high volatility are identified and compared with periods of financial difficulty. The results … indicate that GARCH models of volatility could be potentially useful in assessing financial soundness. Daily data are more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399985
This paper builds on the ARCH approach for modeling distributions with time-varying conditional variance by using the generalized Student t distribution. The distribution offers flexibility in modeling both leptokurtosis and asymmetry (characteristics seen in high-frequency financial time series...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400775
This paper presents and discusses the estimates of the present value of corporate profits in the United States from 1984 to 2018. To value the expected income stream, it uses the long-range forecasts of professional forecasters for pre-tax corporate earnings and long-term Treasury note yields,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012001557