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We measure the impact of frequent exogeneous shocks on small ECCU economies, including changes to global economic activity, tourism flows, oil prices, passport sales, FDI, and natural disasters. Using Canonical-Correlation Analysis (CCA) and dynamic panel regression analysis we find significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796822
statistically significant output effect under floating exchange rate regimes. For the estimation of the output effects of fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012252736
countries. Using the local projection method, we find that, during recessions, a positive spending shock of 1 percent of GDP … shock would improve the female share of employment by 0.28 percentage point during recessions. Our findings are driven by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012001474
Do discretionary spending cuts and tax increases hurt social well-being? To answer this question, we combine subjective well-being data covering over half a million of individuals across 13 European countries, with macroeconomic data on fiscal consolidations. We find that fiscal consolidations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012170083
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While the COVID-19 pandemic is affecting all countries, output losses vary considerably across countries. We provide a first analysis of robust determinants of observed initial output losses using model-averaging techniques-Weighted Average Least Squares and Bayesian Model Averaging. The results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012517923
find that a large share of publicly-listed firms become vulnerable as a result of the pandemic shock and additional … the impact of the shock in the near term. Looking forward, while interest coverage ratios tend to improve over time after … the initial shock as earnings recover in line with projected macroeconomic conditions, liquidity needs remain substantial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012605125
The three main financial inflows to developing countries have largely increased during the last two decades, despite the large debate in the literature regarding their effects on economic growth which is not yet clear-cut. An emerging literature investigates the dependence of their effects on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012605579