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We estimate a latent factor model that decomposes international stock returns into global, country-, and industry-specific shocks and allows for stock-specific exposures to these shocks. We find that across stocks there is substantial dispersion in these exposures, which is partly explained by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400963
unknown future basket weights optimally forecasted from past exchange rate data? And, second, how is risk—in terms of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400299
suggest that idiosyncratic risk is: higher at times of large return outcomes for the asset class as a whole; positively … autocorrelated; and correlated across different asset classes. The implications for risk management are discussed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400872
and then asses how they affect an emerging economy whose interest rate is affected by a world risk-free rate and a risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399252
We study a banking model in which banks invest in a riskless asset and compete in both deposit and risky loan markets. The model predicts that as competition increases, both loans and assets increase; however, the effect on the loans-to-assets ratio is ambiguous. Similarly, as competition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402479
International macroeconomic policy coordination is generally considered to be made less likely—and less profitable—by the presence of uncertainty about how the economy works. The present paper provides a counter-example, in which increased uncertainty about portfolio preference of investors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397897
We augment a linearized dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with a tractable endogenous risk mechanism … their conditional distributions. In particular, the model matches the key stylized facts of growth at risk. Accounting for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300643
This paper outlines an approach to assess uncertainty around a forecast baseline as well as the impact of alternative policy rules on macro variability. The approach allows for non-Gaussian shock distributions and non-linear underlying macroeconomic models. Consequently, the resulting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251371
This paper investigates the developments in house price synchronization across countries by a dynamic factor model using a country- and city-level dataset, and examines what drives the synchronization. The empirical results indicate that: (i) the degree of synchronization has been rising since...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932303
This paper assesses liquidity risk for the United States (U.S.) bond mutual funds industry and performs a range of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012605013