Showing 1 - 10 of 1,287
There is strong evidence that interest rates and bond yield movements exhibit both stochastic volatility and … associated bond yields by estimating the volatility and jump risk premia in highly volatile markets. Using the simulated method … of moments (SMM), results suggest that all variants of models which do not take into account stochastic volatility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400896
This paper interprets contagion effects as an increase in the volatility of aggregate shocks impinging on the domestic … banks borrow at a premium on world capital markets, and domestic producers (whose demand for credit results from working … capital needs) borrow at a premium from domestic banks. Higher volatility of producers’ productivity shocks increases both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401716
This paper investigates the impact of infectious diseases on the evolution of sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads for a panel of 77 advanced and developing countries. Using annual data over the 2004-2020 period, we find that infectious-disease outbreaks have no discernible effect on CDS...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392655
How do oil price movements affect sovereign spreads in an oil-dependent economy? I develop a stochastic general equilibrium model of an economy exposed to co-moving oil price and output processes, with endogenous sovereign default risk. The model explains a large proportion of business cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154693
using some pertinent fundamental independent variables, as well as the World Bank institutional quality indexes and other … proxies for the degree of ambiguity in the sample countries. Some World Bank and other indexes are statistically significant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399705
Large fundamental imbalances persist in the global economy, with potential exchange rate implications. This paper assesses whether exchange rate risk is priced across G-7 stock markets. Given the multitude of hedging instruments available, theory suggests that stock market investors should not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402492
Over the past year, euro area sovereign spreads have exhibited an unprecedented degree of volatility. This paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402913
The accumulation of large foreign asset positions by many central banks through sustained foreign exchange (FX) intervention has raised questions about its associated fiscal costs. This paper clarifies conceptual issues regarding how to measure these costs both from an ex-post and an ex-ante...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011705681
We present empirical evidence that the Thai baht’s value is driven in part by investors’ cross-border equity portfolio rebalancing decisions. Our results are based on comprehensive datasets of FX and stock market transactions undertaken by nonresident investors in Thailand in 2005 and 2006....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395736
This paper examines the impact of changes in margin requirements on returns, transaction volumes, and price volatility … shift trade to the competing exchange. Price volatility or returns are not systematically affected by changes in margin …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395916