Showing 1 - 10 of 2,379
We examine the effects of various borrower-based macroprudential tools in a New Keynesian environment where both real and nominal interest rates are low. Our model features long-term debt, housing transaction costs and a zero-lower bound constraint on policy rates. We find that the long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251966
We augment a linearized dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with a tractable endogenous risk mechanism … their conditional distributions. In particular, the model matches the key stylized facts of growth at risk. Accounting for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300643
An independent central bank can manage its balance sheet and its capital so as to commit itself to a depreciation of its currency and an exchange rate peg. This way, the central bank can implement the optimal escape from a liquidity trap, which involves a commitment to higher future inflation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404026
develop a macro-financial structural model with two novel features. First, we include idiosyncratic and aggregate risk in a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391995
The relationship between current account developments and changes in the macroeconomic environment remains a key issue in open economy macroeconomics. This paper extends the standard intertemporal optimizing model of the current account to incorporate the effects of macroeconomic uncertainty on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396005
We explore the long-term impact of economic booms on labor market outcomes using a novel approach based on revisions to professional forecasts over the past 30 years for 34 advanced economies. We find that when employment rises unexpectedly, forecasters typically raise their long-term forecasts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009488220
In the context of the U.K. government’s EMU entry condition of cyclical convergence, this paper (i) provides further evidence suggesting that historically the U.K.’s business cycle has been more volatile than, and relatively independent of, the cycles in the euro-area countries; and (ii)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401449
fiscal policy. Using a variant of the model by Curdia and Woodford (2009), we study a ""sovereign risk channel"" through … which sovereign default risk raises funding costs in the private sector. If monetary policy is constrained, the sovereign … risk channel exacerbates indeterminacy problems: private-sector beliefs of a weakening economy may become self …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396923
sectors via the destruction of capital stocks and jumps in risk premia. These disruptions often entail negative feedback e … explore this causal nexus and the e?ects of rare large disasters resulting in capital losses and rising risk premia. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102117