Showing 1 - 10 of 2,656
Statistical measures of the volatility of exchange rates, interest rates, and stock prices are estimated for a number … of countries. Periods of high volatility are identified and compared with periods of financial difficulty. The results … indicate that GARCH models of volatility could be potentially useful in assessing financial soundness. Daily data are more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399985
This paper interprets contagion effects as an increase in the volatility of aggregate shocks impinging on the domestic … banks borrow at a premium on world capital markets, and domestic producers (whose demand for credit results from working … capital needs) borrow at a premium from domestic banks. Higher volatility of producers’ productivity shocks increases both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401716
Volatility in financial markets has forced economists to reexamine the validity of the efficient markets hypothesis … studies have found evidence of excessive volatility. In the aftermath of the stock market crash of 1987 and the perceived … increase in market volatility, some economists have advocated additional market regulations. Are these proposed regulations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395913
volatility risks), contagion effects, and idiosyncratic factors. While idiosyncratic factors explain a large amount of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400361
This paper studies the role of insider trading in explaining cross-country differences in stock market volatility. The … controls for liquidity/maturity of the market and the volatility of the underlying fundamentals (volatility of real output and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403864
We augment a linearized dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with a tractable endogenous risk mechanism, to support the joint analysis of monetary and macroprudential policy. This state dependent conditional heteroskedasticity mechanism specifies the conditional variances of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300643
We study equity price volatility in general equilibrium with news shocks about future productivity and monetary policy … asset price volatility. We show that introducing news shocks in a canonical dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model may … not reduce asset price volatility under plausible parameter assumptions. This is because, in general equilibrium, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399366
The literature on leverage until now shows how an increase in volatility reduces leverage. However, in order to explain … pro-cyclical leverage it assumes that bad news increases volatility. This paper suggests a reason why bad news is more … often than not associated with higher future volatility. We show that, in a model with endogenous leverage and heterogeneous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395754
The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, including balance of payments, monetary and fiscal issues, global liquidity, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395952
The issue of informational efficiency in the evolution of asset prices is examined using data on equity markets in Jordan, Turkey and Pakistan over the period 1986–93. The analysis is carried out in two steps. The parameters of agents’ dynamic consumption and investment decisions are first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397956