Showing 1 - 10 of 1,166
This paper draws out the parallels between Korea and Japan in terms of demographics, potential growth, balance sheets …, asset prices and inflation. Korea's demographic trends seem to track Japan's with a lag of about 20 years. Low productivity … reforms. While Korea's corporate balance sheets are stronger than Japan's in the early 1990s, Korea needs to progress with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011716396
Korea’s rapid growth has slowed in recent years, suggesting lower potential growth. This paper uses an array of techniques, including statistical filters, a multivariate model and the production function, to estimate Korea’s potential growth. The main finding is that trend growth has fallen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014411160
This paper looks at the empirical record whether big infrastructure and public capital drives have succeeded in accelerating economic growth in low-income countries. It looks at big long-lasting drives in public capital spending, as these were arguably clear and exogenous policy decisions. On...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014411432
Going forward, Korea faces two closely related challenges: sustaining economic growth against the backdrop of a rapidly aging population and ameliorating income inequality. This paper argues that a gradual increase in social spending could promote more sustainable and inclusive growth in Korea....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395619
Going forward, Korea faces two closely related challenges: sustaining economic growth against the backdrop of a rapidly aging population and ameliorating income inequality. This paper argues that a gradual increase in social spending could promote more sustainable and inclusive growth in Korea....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009659803
Adverse demographics and other structural weaknesses impinge on Korea's long-term fiscal outlook and potential growth. Moreover, inadequate social protection is creating poverty and dampening consumption. The paper presents projections of Korea's fiscal outlook, using new estimates of potential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011852539
Korea is facing mounting economic challenges. Productivity growth has been on a trend decline amid demographic headwinds, while the societal demand for inclusive growth has been on a steep rise. Furthermore, the government-led unbalanced growth model-which served Korea well in the past-has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011799650
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010441751
Korea's economy has leaped to high-income status thanks to several decades of sustained high growth. However, population aging and shifts in global demand provide headwinds for future growth and Korea now faces the effects of COVID-19 on economic activity. This paper asseses the expected drag on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012604751
Health spending has risen rapidly in Japan. We find two-thirds of the spending increase over 1990–2011 resulted from … increase of 2–3 percentage points of GDP. This will require a sizable increase in government transfers. Japan can introduce …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012671842