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volatility in determining a firm's debt currency composition, among other channels. Furthermore, the effect of exchange rate … volatility becomes statistically insignificant beyond an estimated threshold credit-to-GDP ratio of 100 percent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102196
This paper compares two approaches for examining the extent to which a country’s actual real effective exchange rate is consistent with economic fundamentals: the FEER approach, which involves calculating the real exchange rate that equates the current account at full employment with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400711
In this paper we extend the BEER (Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate) approach which identifies an estimated equilibrium relationship between the real exchange rate and economic fundamentals. Here the economic fundamentals are decomposed using Johansen cointegration methods into transitory and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403514
In this paper we use an exchange rate model that combines asset market characteristics with balance of payments interactions to examine the nominal effective exchange rates of the German mark, Japanese yen, and U.S. dollar for the recent experience with floating exchange rates. Our approach may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398230
There is strong evidence that interest rates and bond yield movements exhibit both stochastic volatility and … associated bond yields by estimating the volatility and jump risk premia in highly volatile markets. Using the simulated method … of moments (SMM), results suggest that all variants of models which do not take into account stochastic volatility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400896
This paper examines the mechanisms through which output volatility is related to trade openness using an industry … appreciable impact on aggregate volatility. Added together they imply that the relationship between trade openness and overall … volatility is positive and economically significant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401281
fluctuations in real commodity prices. Increased exchange rate volatility calls for a better understanding of these relations. To … multi-country model, with world market clearing, which incorporates speculative and non-speculative demands for inventories … matters, and that supply and demand elasticities are important in determining the commodity price in world markets above and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398636
We investigate the drivers of dynamics of major U.S. FX bilaterals. We first construct a novel measure of FX risk premiums using Consensus exchange rate forecasts. We then use VAR analysis to show that (i) risk premium shocks play a key role in driving dynamics of the major U.S. FX bilaterals;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011711595
This paper sheds light on the attractiveness of U.S. assets by studying dollar risk premiums, calculated using Consensus exchange rate forecasts, and linking them to bilateral capital flows. The paper finds that the presence of negative dollar risk premiums (i.e. expectations of a dollar...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402980
This paper examines the relevance of PPP, the adjustment channel of real exchange rate and the predictability of the movement in nominal exchange rate by studying the behavior of yen/DM exchange rate, using cointegration method. Results support PPP and find that the real exchange rate is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399967