Understanding the sources of inflation persistence is crucial for monetary policy. This paper provides an empirical … assessment of the influence of inflation expectations' anchoring on the persistence of inflation. We construct a novel index of … inflation expectations' anchoring using survey-based inflation forecasts for 45 economies starting in 1989. We then study the …

-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years … unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since …

This paper examines the recent behavior of core inflation in the United States. We specify a simple Phillips curve … based on the assumptions that inflation expectations are fully anchored at the Federal Reserve’s target, and that labor …-market slack is captured by the level of shortterm unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including …

non accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) improves on univariate methods as the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter …

Anchoring of inflation expectations is of paramount importance for central banks' ability to deliver stable inflation … and minimize price dispersion. Relying on daily interest rates and inflation forecasts from major financial institutions … the dispersion of inflation expectations, a proxy for the extent of anchoring, which is based on the same analysts …

Upward sloping yield curves are hard to reconcile with the positive association between income and inflation (the … Phillips curve) in consumption-based asset pricing models. Using US and UK data, this paper shows inflation is negatively … the importance of monetary policy, predicting that a permanently low growth and low inflation environment would …

This paper pursues a computationally intensive approach to generate future inflation, followed by an exploration of the … determinants of inflation expectations by estimating a new Keynesian type Phillips curve that takes into account country … indicate that high and climbing inflation could easily seep into people’s anticipation of future inflation and linger. There is …

estimate a New Keynesian Phillips curve for Armenia, suggesting a significant role of the output gap and inflation expectations … in determining current inflation. Finally, the underlying fiscal stance over the period 2000-09 is assessed by estimating …