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area liquidity. U.S. excess liquidity also enters consistently positive as a determinant of euro area inflation. There is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404266
The paper examines the impact of unconventional monetary policy measures (UMPMs) implemented since 2008 in the United States, the United Kingdom, Euro area and Japan- the Systemic Four-on global monetary and liquidity conditions. Overall, the results show positive significant relationships....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445532
Given the prospects of asynchronous monetary conditions in the United States and the euro area, this paper analyzes spillovers among these two economies, as well as the implications of asynchronicity for spillovers to other advanced economies and emerging markets. Through a structural vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374017
After more than six years of ultra-low interest rates, a Fed liftoff (rate hike) is just a matter of time. This paper goes back to history to understand the spillover effect - or what is termed in the paper as the 'liftoff' effect - of the previous five Fed liftoffs on capital flows. Using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011446331
increase in inflation. The model explains the joint dynamics of output, inflation, real wages, and interest rates, and is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401278
We argue that in an economy with downward nominal wage rigidity, the output gap is negative on average. Because it is more difficult to cut wages than to increase them, firms reduce employment more during downturns than they increase employment during expansions. This is demonstrated in a simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012103632
useful for predicting inflation. In addition, countries where slack (and potential growth) is overestimated to a larger …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012103755
The strong US policy response to the 2008-09 financial crisis raised concerns about its impact (spillovers) on other countries, with great focus on the monetary stimulus but little attention to fiscal policy, despite their combined deployment. Using a sign-restricted structural VAR approach, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011742995
This paper reviews the pros and cons of institutionalized constraints limiting the freedom of national budgetary policies within an Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) in Europe. The issue is approached from three angles: the influence of EMU on (i) budget discipline; (ii) intergenerational equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396369