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A pandemic forecasting framework : an application of risk analysis
Dizioli, Allan Gloe; Greenwood, Daniel Rivera; … - 2021
explain the epidemic development in the UK, the USA and Brazil through the model lens. Moreover, we show how our model would … have predicted that a super infectious variant, such as the delta, would spread and argue that current vaccination levels …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796794
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The effects of COVID-19 vaccines on economic activity
Deb, Pragyan; Furceri, Davide; Jiménez, Daniel; … - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796628
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Determinants of COVID-19 vaccine rollouts and their effects on health outcomes
Deb, Pragyan; Furceri, Davide; Jiménez, Daniel; … - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796638
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COVID-19 vaccines : a shot in arm for the economy
Hansen, Niels-Jakob Harbo; Mano, Rui - 2021
covering the period end-2020 to mid-2021. Causal effects are identified through instrumenting vaccination rates with county …. Specifically, an increase of initiated vaccination rates of 1 percentage point increases weekly consumer spending by 0.6 percent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795132
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Riding the yield curve : risk taking behavior in a low interest rate environment
Chami, Ralph; Cosimano, Thomas F.; Rochon, Céline; … - 2020
Investors seek to hedge against interest rate risk by taking long or short positions on bonds of different maturities. We study changes in risk taking behavior in a low interest rate environment by estimating a market stochastic discount factor that is non-linear and therefore consistent with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251301
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Mask mandates save lives
Hansen, Niels-Jakob Harbo; Mano, Rui - 2021
We quantify the effect of mask mandates in the United States. Our regression discontinuity design exploits county-level variation in COVID-19 cases, hospital admissions, and deaths across the border between states with and without mandates. We find a significant and substantial effect-mask...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012605500
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Contagion of fear : is the impact of COVID-19 on sovereign risk really indiscriminate?
Cevik, Serhan; Öztürkkal, Belma - 2020
This paper investigates the impact of infectious diseases on the evolution of sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads for a panel of 77 advanced and developing countries. Using annual data over the 2004-2020 period, we find that infectious-disease outbreaks have no discernible effect on CDS...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392655
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The measurement of external accounts
Adler, Gustavo; Garcia-Macia, Daniel; Krogstrup, Signe - 2019
Growing international integration in trade and finance can challenge the measurement of external accounts. This paper presents a unified conceptual framework for identifying sources of mismeasurement of foreign investment income in current account balances. The framework allows to derive a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102053
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Externalities. Incentives, and Economic Reforms
International Monetary Fund - 1990
The paper emphasizes the role of institutions and incentives in the presence of externalities. An economy with multiple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396155
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Banks As Coordinators of Economic Growth
Ueda, Kenichi - 2006
This paper formally identifies an important role of banks: Banks competitively internalize production externalities and … facilitate economic growth. I formulate a canonical growth model with externalities as a game among consumers, firms, and banks …. Banks compete for deposits to seek monopoly profits, including externalities. Using loan contracts that specify price and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399670