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We argue that the U.S. personal saving rate's long stability (from the 1960s through the early 1980s), subsequent steady decline (1980s - 2007), and recent substantial increase (2008 - 2011) can all be interpreted using a parsimonious 'buffer stock' model of optimal consumption in the presence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009622528
We argue that the U.S. personal saving rate’s long stability (from the 1960s through the early 1980s), subsequent steady decline (1980s - 2007), and recent substantial increase (2008 - 2011) can all be interpreted using a parsimonious ‘buffer stock’ model of optimal consumption in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395705
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010479444
This paper examines the macroeconomic implications of life-cycle and dynastic saving behavior for closed and small, open economies. Using an extended version of Blanchard’s overlapping agents model, the analytical framework nests these two competing views, treating agents as either dynastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399666
Evans (1991) has demonstrated that Blanchard’s (1985) finite-horizon model obeys approximate Ricardian equivalence. We show that this result is determined largely by an unrealistic assumption that labor income grows monotonically over a consumer’s entire lifetime. Introducing more realistic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395872
We study the effects of permanent and temporary income shocks on precautionary saving and investment in a ""store-or-sow"" model of growth. High volatility of permanent shocks results in high precautionary saving in the safe asset and low investment, or a ""volatility trap."" Namely, big savers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396572
incorporate the effects of macroeconomic uncertainty on private savings behavior. It is shown that the greater the uncertainty in … savings and, other things equal, the larger is the current account surplus. Empirical support for the model is found using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396005
Using the between-sector variation in income as a new measure of economic uncertainty, this paper proposes simple models and supportive empirical evidence for the causal relations between economic uncertainty and government size in the open economy setting. Key empirical findings include: (1) a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400576
We study, both empirically and quantitatively, the role of savings and the labor supply in self-insurance channels over … the life cycle when one faces not only idiosyncratic income risks, but also changes in longevity risk and pension benefits … social security benefits for the period 1995-2009. We find that both savings and the labor supply are quantitatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009609
This paper develops and tests a model of Japan’s household savings rate, based on the life-cycle hypothesis that the … primary motive for savings is provision for retirement. The paper shows that Japan’s high household savings rate in recent … improvements in public pension benefits and the aging of the population. It projects that the savings rate will decline …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395990