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We explore the stability properties of interest rate rules granting an explicit response to stock prices in a New-Keynesian DSGE model populated by Blanchard-Yaari non-Ricardian households. The constant turnover between long-time stock holders and asset-poor newcomers generates a financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014411926
The level of a bank‘s capitalization can effectively transmit information about its riskiness and therefore support market discipline, but asymmetry information may induce exaggerated or distortionary behavior: banks may vie with one another to signal confidence in their prospects by keeping...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396615
theory to model these inference exercises and to assess their general possibility of success. So, is it possible to infer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009325
Consensus forecasts are inefficient, over-weighting older information already in the public domain at the expense of new private information, when individual forecasters have different information sets. Using a cross-country panel of growth forecasts and new methodological insights, this paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399212
credibility and the speed of private sector learning, which are shown to have a major impact on the speed of inflation adjustment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396293
This paper explains why sovereign issuers of reserve currencies do not use unexpected inflation to repudiate their foreign liabilities. Monetary restraint is exercised because of the fear that reserve users will switch to other currencies if an attempt is made to raise “excessive” revenue....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396294
based on the probability of unrest in the following year derived from a machine learning model drawing on over 340 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796240
not its permanent and transitory components separately. The model''s predictions under learning differ substantially from … explanations of the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle, learning induces high correlations irrespective of the assumed persistence of shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400934
This paper considers optimal communication by monetary policy committees in a model of imperfect knowledge and learning … learning about the committee''s decision-making process and policy preferences. When committee members have heterogeneous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402811
benefits and limitations of central bank communications in a model of imperfect knowledge and learning. It is shown that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401641