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Complementing the explanation provided by Calvo and Vegh (1994) for money-based stabilization programs, exchange rate uncertainty introduced to a particular version of the portfolio approach with imperfect competition in the banking system leads to a bias toward appreciation that is directly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400424
This paper assesses the role of trade patterns in shaping the volatility of the effective exchange rate under two alternative peg regimes: a hard peg to a single currency and a peg to a basket of currencies. I link the changes in the nominal effective exchange rate of a pegged currency to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396596
This paper sheds light on the attractiveness of U.S. assets by studying dollar risk premiums, calculated using … dollar risk premiums (i.e. expectations of a dollar depreciation net of interest rate effects) amid record capital inflows … of U.S. financial markets to European investors suggests that they offer a large array of assets, with different risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402980
foreign exchange, interest rate, and credit risk. For surveillance purposes, this framework can easily be integrated into one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402512
This paper presents an empirical model to study the response of wages and prices to movements in the nominal exchange rate. A four-equation model is applied to Italian data to evaluate the response of tradeable goods prices, consumer prices, and wages following the lira’s exit from the ERM in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398126
The paper reviews the statistical behavior of major currency exchange rates during 1975-86. A close inspection indicates small deviations of recent exchange rate behavior from random walks and some systematic movements in monthly data, possibly corresponding to the relatively infrequent arrivals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396110
realignment/devaluation risk, as well as an endogenous exchange rate risk premium. The risk premium is small for reasonable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396306
A strand of research documents Chile's copper dependence hence significant exposure to terms of trade shocks. Copper prices' sharp decline and forecast uncertainty since the end of the commodity super-cycle has rekindled the debate on Chile's adjustment capacity to external shocks. Following...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011715577
consumption across countries from the predictions of models with full risk sharing. It is commonly believed that these risk … that the full risk sharing equilibrium may not require much diversification of equity portfolios when there is price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404288
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009572379