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of oil shocks on the merchandise trade balance and the current account, which depending on the source of the shock can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401265
and their distinct effects. Kilian (2009) analyzes the effects of an oil supply shock, an aggregate demand shock, and a … precautionary oil demand shock. The paper''s aim is to model macroeconomic consequences of these shocks within a new Keynesian DSGE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402212
This paper discusses the challenges that European Monetary Union (EMU) poses for European labor markets, emphasizing in particular the regional dimension of the European unemployment problem. The authors argue that the inability of labor markets to adjust to shocks is largely a regional problem...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400813
Labor markets in Australia have adjusted smoothly to significant declines in commodity prices with little increase in unemployment. This paper examines several aspects of the adjustment, focusing on (i) evidence of increased labor market frictions following the commodity price decline; (ii)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011704575
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010479429
This paper focuses on identifying potential asymmetric responses of non-commodity output growth in times of positive and negative commodity terms-of-trade shocks. Using a sample of 27 oil-exporting countries and a panel VAR method, the study finds: 1) the short-and medium-run response of real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012612329
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487299
Using a panel of 101 low- and middle-income countries with data covering the period 1980-2012, this paper applies various econometric approaches that deal with endogeneity issues to assess the impact of food price shocks on socio-political instability once fiscal policy and remittances have been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392596
This paper documents the determinants of real oil price in the global market based on SVAR model embedding transitory and permanent shocks on oil demand and supply as well as speculative disturbances. We find evidence of significant differences in the propagation mechanisms of transitory versus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251290
The effect that the recent decline in the price of oil has had on growth is far from clear, with many observers at odds to explain why it does not seem to have provided a significant boost to the world economy. This paper aims to address this puzzle by providing a systematic analysis of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011704424