Showing 1 - 10 of 954
Our paper examines the effect of oil price changes on Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets using nonlinear smooth transition regression (STR) models. Contrary to conventional wisdom, our empirical results reveal that GCC stock markets do not have similar sensitivities to oil price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011852573
pricing securities, and the relationship between returns and conditional volatility. GARCH(p,q)-M models estimated for the … returns to exhibit volatility clustering; and a significant positive link between risk and returns, which was significantly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403463
This paper studies the role of insider trading in explaining cross-country differences in stock market volatility. The … controls for liquidity/maturity of the market and the volatility of the underlying fundamentals (volatility of real output and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403864
This paper, using T-GARCH models, finds that the United States has been the major source of price and volatility … ""stock market correction"" period. There is also evidence of structural breaks in the stock price and volatility dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399563
The issue of informational efficiency in the evolution of asset prices is examined using data on equity markets in Jordan, Turkey and Pakistan over the period 1986–93. The analysis is carried out in two steps. The parameters of agents’ dynamic consumption and investment decisions are first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397956
Despite concerns are often voiced on the so called “excess volatility” of the stock market, little is known about the … implications of market volatility for the real economy. This paper examines whether the stock market volatility affects real fixed … investment. The empirical evidence obtained from the US data shows that market volatility has independent effects on investment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398072
This paper examines the evidence for the common assertion that the volatility of emerging stock markets has increased … volatility in recent years; indeed, it appears that volatility may have tended to fall rather than rise on average. The paper … should lead to a reduction in return volatility as risk is spread among a larger number of investors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398639
This paper introduces the quantile regression- based Distance-to-Default to Probability of Default (DD-PD) mapping, which links individual firms' DD to their real world PD. Since changes in the DD depend on a handful of parameters, the mapping easily accommodates shocks arising from quantitative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613371
We augment a linearized dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with a tractable endogenous risk mechanism, to support the joint analysis of monetary and macroprudential policy. This state dependent conditional heteroskedasticity mechanism specifies the conditional variances of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300643
We study the effect of COVID-19 containment measures on expected stock price volatility in some advanced economies …-month-ahead volatility indices dropped following announcements of initial or re-imposed lockdowns, and that they did not drop significantly … following the easing of lockdowns. Such patterns are not as strong for three-month-ahead expected volatility and generally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012612335