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Understanding the sources of inflation persistence is crucial for monetary policy. This paper provides an empirical … assessment of the influence of inflation expectations' anchoring on the persistence of inflation. We construct a novel index of … inflation expectations' anchoring using survey-based inflation forecasts for 45 economies starting in 1989. We then study the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978669
Modifications to Japan''s monetary policy framework will be needed as positive inflation resumes because the current … an ""anti-deflation"" objective to an inflation objective, complemented by a shift of monetary operations from a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400954
The ECB''s objective of medium-term inflation below 2 percent has been portrayed by critics as ambiguous, asymmetric … that: (1) in terms of guiding inflation expectations and policymaking, the current definition has functioned much as would … an inflation target centered on 1 1/2-1 3/4 percent; (2) the absence of a specific (point) target for medium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403825
It is widely feared that, once prices are decontrolled in the formerly centrally–planned economies, households’ release of previously accumulated money will trigger a hyperinflation. This paper finds, instead, that whether a country’s fiscal, monetary, and labor market policies are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396464
Inflation persistence is sometimes defined as the tendency for price shocks to push the inflation rate away from its … steady state—including an inflation target—for a prolonged period. Persistence is important because it affects the output … costs of lowering inflation back to the target, often described as the “sacrifice ratio”. In this paper I use inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014411161
with that of high-inflation developing countries. In general, the behavior of key macroeconomic variables—inflation, output … observed in developing countries, although some resemblance to this pattern could be found in Italy in 1987–92 and Greece in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403352
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009424688
Since the start of the 2008 - 09 financial crisis, the Polish Overnight Index Average (POLONIA) has persistently been below the policy rate, suggesting a limited influence of the NBP's open market operations on the short-term interbank rate. In this regard, this paper analyzes the behavior of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621633
Bolivia has achieved noteworthy success over the past 15 years in raising incomes, reducing poverty, and maintaining macroeconomic stability by deploying commodity revenues to finance transfers, public investment, and state-led development, using an exchange rate peg as a policy anchor. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013170086
credibility. In our setting, central bank credibility is proportional to the deviation of inflation expectations from the … announced inflation target, with positive deviations being more costly compared to negative ones. A loss in policy credibility … as a result of shocks leads to a more persistent, backward-looking inflation process, and is associated with lower output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391944