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through two channels. First, by reducing export income volatility and allowing for a smoother consumption path. Second, by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402269
How does a commodity market adjust to a temporary scarcity shock which causes a shift in the slope of the futures price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397573
Commodities are back following a stellar run of price performance, attracting financial investor attention. What are the fundamental reasons to hold commodities? One reason is the exposure offered to underlying risk factors. In this paper, I assess the macro risk exposure offered by commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401380
This paper develops a model of political regulation in which politicians set the regulated price in order to maximize electoral support by signaling to voters a pro-consumer behavior. Political incentives and welfare constraints interact in the model, yielding an equilibrium in which the real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400268
We augment a linearized dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with a tractable endogenous risk mechanism, to support the joint analysis of monetary and macroprudential policy. This state dependent conditional heteroskedasticity mechanism specifies the conditional variances of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300643
The evidence on the inflation impact of aging is mixed, and there is no evidence regarding the volatility of inflation … higher inflation volatility. Our paper is also the first, using this framework, to discuss how aging affects the transmission …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012103744
This paper investigates the consequences of exchange rate volatility on the variability of export prices and quantities … in the presence of market segmentation and pricing to market. Firms stabilize destination prices through systematic price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400392
portfolio theory without recourse to market imperfections. It also demonstrates that “Value-at-Risk” portfolio management rules …Models of “contagion” rely on market imperfections to explain why adverse shocks in one asset market might be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400415
reduce macroeconomic volatility. The econometric estimation results from a 30-year panel data set of 15 countries with and … without oil funds suggest that oil funds are associated with reduced volatility of broad money and prices and lower inflation …. However, there is a statistically weak negative association between the presence of an oil fund and volatility of the real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400575
not significantly explain spot market volatility, nor does it increase after futures introductions. To account for the …Recent interest in futures contracts on emerging market currencies has raised concerns among some central bank … measures of linear dependence and feedback indicate strong connections between the respective markets, futures volatility does …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400838