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Trade wars and trade deals : estimated effects using a multi-sector model

Caceres, Carlos; Cerdeiro, Diego A.; Mano, Rui C. - 2019

.S. auto tariffs. The second analyzes a 'transactional deal' between the U.S. and China to close their bilateral deficit. The …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102091

Can Regional Integration Accelerate Development in Africa? : CGE Model Simulations of the Impact of the SADC FTAon the Republic of Madagascar

Hallaert, Jean-Jacques - 2007

Madagascar plans to start phasing out its customs tariffs on imports from the Southern African Development Community in 2007. This paper uses a CGE model to evaluate the impact of the SADC FTA on Madagascar economy. The results suggest that the SADC FTA would only have a limited impact on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400346

Policy, risk and spillover analysis in the world economy : a panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium approach

Vitek, Francis - 2017

This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into forty national economies, to facilitate multilaterally consistent macrofinancial policy, risk and spillover analysis. This panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model features a range of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011670419

Financial distortions in China : a general equilibrium approach

Anzoategui, Diego; Chivakul, Mali; Maliszewski, Wojciech - 2015

Widespread implicit guarantees and interest ceilings were major distortions in China's financial system, contributing …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445597

Output, Employment and Financial Sanctions in South Africa

Bayoumi, Tamim A. - 1990

The effects of the marked slowdown in the growth of the capital stock in South Africa since 1985, associated with political uncertainty and financial sanctions, and future growth prospects are quantified using a modified version of the Lewis development model. This is done by estimating...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395853

Revisiting the potential impact to the rest of the Caribbean from opening US-Cuba tourism

Acevedo, Sebastian; Alleyne, Trevor; Romeu, Rafael - 2017

The Cuban revolution and the subsequent US embargo on Cuba helped shape the tourism sector in the Caribbean, facilitating the birth and growth of alternative destinations. Therefore, the apprehension of the Caribbean tourism industry towards a change in US travel policy to Cuba is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011704403

Sanctions and Civil Conflict

Gershenson, Dmitry - 2001

Using a formal general equilibrium framework, this paper analyzes how sanctions imposed on the contestants in civil conflict affect the welfare of these contestants and the allocation of resources to conflict. It is shown that weak sanctions can hurt the contestant they are supposed to help,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399984

Trade and Financial Spilloveron Hong Kong SAR from a Downturn in Europe and Mainland China

N'Diaye, Papa - 2012

Mainland China have started to weigh on Hong Kong''s growth prospects. Against this backdrop, this paper aims to quantify the … trade and financial spillovers on Hong Kong SAR''s economy from a downturn in the euro area and Mainland China. Based on … event of a hard landing in China, the model simulations suggest that Hong Kong SAR would be on a sustained downturn with …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396828

Trade and financial spillover on Hong Kong SAR from a downturn in Europe and Mainland China

N'Diaye, Papa M'B. P.; Ahuja, Ashvin - 2012

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009572370

Australia's linkages with China : prospects and ramifications of China's economic transition

Karam, Philippe; Muir, Dirk - 2018

China and Australia have increasingly strong links, especially through trade. These are driven by demand from China for … Australian commodities (coal and iron ore) and services (tourism and education). These links are influenced by China's transition …, three risks (both upside and downside) to China during this transition process are considered, focusing on their spillovers …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011866353