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Krznar, Ivo; Matheson, Troy - 2017

This paper explores the nexus between the financial cycle and business cycle in Brazil. Cycles are estimated using a … key economic relationships to be used in a consistent way. The results show that Brazil is now in the downturn phase of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011716460

Price Imputation and Other Techniques for Dealing with Missing Observations, Seasonality and Quality Change in Price Indices

Armknecht, Paul A. - 1999

Price index compilers frequently face situations where price observations are missing due to seasonal unavailability … indices. This paper presents statistical imputation techniques that index compilers can use to prevent bias and suggests the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400856

Corruption, Public Investment, and Growth

Tanzi, Vito - 1997

Corruption, particularly political or “grand” corruption, distorts the entire decision-making process connected with public investment projects. The degree of distortions is higher with weaker auditing institutions. The evidence presented shows that higher corruption is associated with (i)...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401205

A New Index of Currency Mismatch and Systemic Risk

Ranciere, Romain - 2010

This paper constructs a new measure of currency mismatch in the banking sector that controls for bank lending to unhedged borrowers. This measure explicitly takes into account the indirect exchange rate risk that banks undertake when they lend to borrowers that will not be able to repay in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402704

An Index Number Formula Problem : The Aggregation of Broadly Comparable items

Silver, Mick - 2009

Index number theory informs us that if data on matched prices and quantities are available, a superlative index number … formula is best to aggregate heterogeneous items, and a unit value index to aggregate homogeneous ones. The formulas can give … as to why such formulas differ and proposes a solution to this index number problem …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404313

Index Number Biases During Price Liberalization

Osband, Kent - 1991

When a formerly centrally-planned economy frees prices and allows or compels producers to respond to market signals, conventional measures tend to severely overstate short–run output decline and inflation. In part the overstatement stems from neglect of private sector activity, or from belated...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398096

A closed form multivariate linear filter

Boadway, Robin W.; Vitek, Francis - 2018

This paper considers the problem of jointly decomposing a set of time series variables into cyclical and trend components, subject to sets of stochastic linear restrictions among these cyclical and trend components. We derive a closed form solution to an ordinary problem featuring homogeneous...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978601

Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting

Diebold, Francis X. - 1997

Imposing cointegration on a forecasting system, if cointegration is present, is believed to improve long-horizon forecasts. Contrary to this belief, at long horizons nothing is lost by ignoring cointegration when the forecasts are evaluated using standard multivariate forecast accuracy measures....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400530

Regional Trade Agreements Versus Board Liberalization : Which Path Leads to Faster Growth? Time-Series Evidence

Vamvakidis, Athanasios - 1998

Should a closed economy open its trade to all countries or limit itself to participation in regional trade agreements (RTAs)? Based on time-series evidence for a data set for 1950-92, this paper estimates and compares the growth performance of countries that liberalized broadly and those that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400671

Analysis of the U.S. Business Cycle with a Vector-Markov-Switching Model

Kontolemis G., Zenon - 1999

This paper identifies turning points for the U.S. business cycle using different time series. The model, a multivariate Markov-Swiching model, assumes that each series is characterized by a mixture of two normal distributions (a high and low mean) with switching determined by a common Markov...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401046

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