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How did expectations of the outcome of the United Kingdom's (UK) referendum on European Union (EU) membership in 2016 affect prices in financial markets? We study this using high frequency data from betting and financial markets. We find that a one percentage point increase in the probability of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012517941
Statistical measures of the volatility of exchange rates, interest rates, and stock prices are estimated for a number … of countries. Periods of high volatility are identified and compared with periods of financial difficulty. The results … indicate that GARCH models of volatility could be potentially useful in assessing financial soundness. Daily data are more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399985
This paper uses the financial crisis of 2008 as a natural experiment to demonstrate that when measuring investment-cash flow sensitivity, the value of a firm''s assets that can be used as collateral should be taken into account. Using panel data on U.S. firms from 1990 to 2011, it was found that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396632
This paper uses the financial crisis of 2008 as a natural experiment to demonstrate that when measuring investment-cash flow sensitivity, the value of a firm's assets that can be used as collateral should be taken into account. Using panel data on U.S. firms from 1990 to 2011, it was found that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614528
The literature on leverage until now shows how an increase in volatility reduces leverage. However, in order to explain … pro-cyclical leverage it assumes that bad news increases volatility. This paper suggests a reason why bad news is more … often than not associated with higher future volatility. We show that, in a model with endogenous leverage and heterogeneous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395754
Volatility in financial markets has forced economists to reexamine the validity of the efficient markets hypothesis … studies have found evidence of excessive volatility. In the aftermath of the stock market crash of 1987 and the perceived … increase in market volatility, some economists have advocated additional market regulations. Are these proposed regulations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395913
The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, including balance of payments, monetary and fiscal issues, global liquidity, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395952
The issue of informational efficiency in the evolution of asset prices is examined using data on equity markets in Jordan, Turkey and Pakistan over the period 1986–93. The analysis is carried out in two steps. The parameters of agents’ dynamic consumption and investment decisions are first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397956
Using data for the major currencies from 1973 to 1994, we apply recent tests of asset price volatility to re … rate and of standard extensions that allow for sticky prices, sluggish money adjustment, and time-varying risk premia …. Consistent with previous evidence from regression-based tests, most of the models that we examine are rejected by our volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398025
Despite concerns are often voiced on the so called “excess volatility” of the stock market, little is known about the … implications of market volatility for the real economy. This paper examines whether the stock market volatility affects real fixed … investment. The empirical evidence obtained from the US data shows that market volatility has independent effects on investment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398072