Showing 1 - 10 of 608
fertility, and (iv) there is a need for more public spending on childcare for age 6-11 in Japan and Korea to help women continue …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011281943
Latin America was hit hard by Covid-19, both in terms of lives and livelihoods. Early lockdowns in the second quarter of 2020 prevented an explosion of deaths at the time but did not stop the pandemic from later wreaking havoc in the region. This paper investigates the dynamics of pandemics in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012610772
The Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF) is a multi-region, forward-looking, DSGE model developed at the International Monetary Fund for policy analysis and international economic research. This paper documents the incorporation of demographic features into the model. The analysis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300678
In coming decades, China will undergo a notable demographic transformation, with its old-age dependency ratio doubling to 24 percent by 2030 and rising even more precipitously thereafter. This paper uses the permanent income hypothesis to reassess national savings behavior, with greater...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395270
general equilibrium model. The simulations show that lower fertility rates yield lower saving rates. Since lower fertility … mobility is high in China, a low fertility rate implies more future capital outflows. But if capital is less mobile, low … fertility today lowers the domestic return to capital and raises the domestic return to labor. In addition, the paper finds no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404019
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487235
This paper examines the effect of international trade on corporate market power in emerging market economies and developing countries, with a special focus on sub-Saharan Africa. The analysis is based on a large firm-level dataset, tariff data by sector and agreggate indicators of international...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299347
This paper contributes to the literature by introducing the role of geographic concentration of the source of remittances. Specifically, using data over 2010-2015 for 72 developing countries, we study the impact of (i) large remittances and (ii) the geographic concentration of the source of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012252729
Over the past seven years, the DIG and DIGNAR models have complemented the IMF and World Bank debt sustainability framework (DSF) analysis, over 65 country applications. They have provided useful insights in the context of program and surveillance work, based on qualitative and quantitative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009611
This paper estimates the causal effect of fiscal rules on political budget cycles in a sample of 67 developing countries over the period 1985-2007. We exploit the geographical pattern in the adoption of fiscal rules to isolate an exogenous source of variation in the adoption of national fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012155128