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unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since …-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012418077
that this may have contributed to more elastic aggregate supply in recent years, which is consistent with lower inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012302067
In this paper, we provide compelling evidence that cyclical factors account for the bulk of the post-2007 decline in the U.S. labor force participation rate. We then proceed to formulate a stylized New Keynesian model in which labor force participation is essentially acyclical during “normal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012667415
inflation-unemployment process. The results provide some evidence in favor of the Lucas critique by showing that the short …-run unemployment-inflation trade-off tends to improve in countries that are successful in providing low and stable inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399723
This paper analyzes the determinants of high unemployment in South Africa by studying labor market dynamics using … on unemployment. The paper also explores the contribution of unemployment towards inequality. Reducing unemployment is … found to be important for reducing inequality - estimates suggest that a 10 percentage point reduction in unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011711738
currency by keeping inflation low and steady. This paper provides evidence that monetary policy tightening aimed at maintaining … low and stable inflation could at the same time reduce consumption inequality over a 12-18 month horizon, commonly … benefit mainly from lower inflation. By contrast, the real consumption of individuals at higher ends of the consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518926
Inflation rates rose sharply in the Philippines during 2018. Understanding the demand and supply sources of inflation … pressures is key to monetary policy response. Qualitatively, indicators have pointed to evidence of inflation pressures from …-structural model to decompose the contributions of various shocks to inflation. Our main findings are (1) supply factors (mainly global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102135
Based on VAR analyses across 26 countries, we show that, although foreign exchange intervention (FXI) is effective in stabilizing the nominal exchange rate in the short run, its impacts on the real exchange rate are less significant: Limitations on nominal exchange rate flexibility may induce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613705
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487229
between monetary autonomy and inflation dynamics in a panel of Caribbean countries over the period 1980-2017. The empirical … results show that monetary independence is a significant factor in determining inflation, even after controlling for … monetary policy for domestic purposes independent of external monetary influences, leads to lower consumer price inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012103732