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Australia's linkages with China : prospects and ramifications of China's economic transition

Karam, Philippe; Muir, Dirk - 2018

China and Australia have increasingly strong links, especially through trade. These are driven by demand from China for … to a services-driven, consumer-led economy. Using ANZIMF, the Australia-New Zealand Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model … to Australia. One simple takeaway is central to each risk - while the real GDP response to shocks in Australia typically …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011866353

Trade wars and trade deals : estimated effects using a multi-sector model

Caceres, Carlos; Cerdeiro, Diego A.; Mano, Rui C. - 2019

This paper studies the potential long-term effects of three illustrative scenarios using a multi-sector computable general equilibrium (CGE) trade model calibrated to 165 countries. The first scenario estimates effects from potential U.S. auto tariffs. The second analyzes a 'transactional deal'...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102091

Global value chains : what are the benefits and why do countries participate?

Ignatenko, Anna; Raei, Faezeh; Mircheva, Borislava - 2019

Over the last two decades, world trade and production have become increasingly organized around global value chains (GVC). Recent theoretical work has shown that countries can benefit from participation in GVCs through multiple channels. However, little is known empirically about the economic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012001583

Search externalities in firm-to-firm trade

Spray, John - 2021

I develop a model of firm-to-firm search and matching to show that the impact of falling trade costs on firm sourcing decisions and consumer welfare depends on the relative size of search externalities in domestic and international markets. These externalities can be positive if firms share...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012604747

Big data on vessel traffic : nowcasting trade flows in real time

Arslanalp, Serkan; Marini, Marco; Tumbarello, Patrizia - 2019

Vessel traffic data based on the Automatic Identification System (AIS) is a big data source for nowcasting trade activity in real time. Using Malta as a benchmark, we develop indicators of trade and maritime activity based on AIS-based port calls. We test the quality of these indicators by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012155013

Lao P.D.R. : assessing the quality of trade statistics

Bannister, Geoffrey J.; Ghazanchyan, Manuk; Bikoi, … - 2017

This paper assesses external trade statistics in Lao PDR by looking at mirror statistics, and with reference to international experience in compilation and dissemination of external trade data. We find that exports could be underreported by 8 to 50 percent, while imports could be underreported...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011763657

Calculating trade in value added

Aslam, Aqib; Novta, Natalija; Bastos, Fabiano Rodrigues - 2017

This paper sets out the key concepts necessary to calculate trade in value added using input-output tables. We explain the basic structure of an input-output table and the matrix algebra behind the computation of trade in value added statistics. Specifically, we compute measures of domestic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011705346

New estimates for direction of trade statistics

Marini, Marco; Dippelsman, Robert John; Stanger, Michael - 2018

In March 2017, the IMF published an upgrade of its Direction of Trade Statistics (DOTS) dataset. This paper documents the new methodology that has been developed to estimate missing observations of bilateral trade statistics on a monthly basis. The new estimation procedure is founded on a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011799291

Asymmetries in the coordinated direct investment survey : what lies behind?

Angulo, Emma; Hierro, Alicia - 2017

This paper analyzes asymmetries in direct investment positions reported in the Coordinated Direct Investment Survey (CDIS) following a top down approach. First, it examines asymmetries at global level; second, it examines asymmetries between CDIS reported and derived data for individual...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011799645

Data Consistency in IMF Publications : Country Staff Reports Versus International Financial Statistics

Cady, John - 2005

Data published in IMF country staff reports and International Financial Statistics (IFS) may differ for identical variables and, at times, users may be unaware of the reasons for these differences and lack the information needed to permit reconciliation. Such discrepancies stem principally from...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401027

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