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The COVID-19 pandemic prompted unprecedented economic stimulus worldwide. We empirically examine the impact of a withdrawal of fiscal stimulus policies on the stock markets. After constructing a database of withdrawal events, we use event study analysis and cross-country regressions to assess...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012486103
Investors seek to hedge against interest rate risk by taking long or short positions on bonds of different maturities …. We study changes in risk taking behavior in a low interest rate environment by estimating a market stochastic discount … literature. We provide evidence that non-linearities arise from hedging strategies of investors exposed to interest rate risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251301
Using a new daily index of social unrest, we provide systematic evidence on the negative impact of social unrest on stock market performance. An average social unrest episode in an typical country causes a 1.4 percentage point drop in cumulative abnormal returns over a two-week event window....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518928
Using daily data for the January 1997 to June 2002 period, we analyze the impact of a broad set of macroeconomic news on stock prices in the United States and Germany. With GARCH specifications we test five hypotheses and find that news on real economic activity has a significant impact on stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399615
We analyze how concerns for model misspecification on the part of international lenders affect the desirability of issuing state-contingent debt instruments in a standard sovereign default model a la Eaton and Gersovitz (1981). We show that for the commonly used threshold state-contingent bond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518920
explores how much of these large movements reflected shifts in (i) global risk aversion (ii) country-specific risks, directly … in the crisis, the surge in global risk aversion was a significant factor influencing sovereign spreads, while recently … Spain, as the emphasis has shifted towards short-term refinancing risk and long-term fiscal sustainability. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402913
The COVID-19 pandemic led many emerging market central banks to adopt, for the first time, unconventional policies in the form of asset purchase programs. In this study, we analyze the effects of these announcements on domestic financial markets using both event studies and local projections...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487164
significant impact on market-implied sovereign default risk. This adverse effect appears to be more pronounced in advanced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392655
We investigate how corporate stock returns respond to geopolitical risk in the case of South Korea, which has … risk from North Korea (the GPRNK index) is constructed using automated keyword searches in South Korean media. The GPRNK … index, designed to capture both upside and downside risk, corroborates that geopolitical risk sharply increases with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796347
How did expectations of the outcome of the United Kingdom's (UK) referendum on European Union (EU) membership in 2016 affect prices in financial markets? We study this using high frequency data from betting and financial markets. We find that a one percentage point increase in the probability of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012517941