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A stochastic volatility model where volatility was driven solely by a latent variable called news was estimated for three stock indices. A Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm was used for estimating Bayesian parameters and filtering volatilities. Volatility persistence being close to one was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400143
Similar to other emerging economies, the Egyptian stock market has recently experienced a remarkable run-up but also a major downturn. This paper analyzes the stock market from two angles. First, it compares the performance of the major stock price index with its underlying fundamentals. Second,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401258
list of macroeconomic announcements, including money supply, inflation, employment, housing starts, and trade balances, etc …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401312
In this paper, we derive evidence on the integration of international stock markets from the cointegration properties of international stock market prices. Using the multivariate cointegration test of Johansen, we find that the set of six country stock price indices, including that of the United...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395829
This paper examines possible explanations for “winner–loser reversals” in the national stock market indices of 16 countries. There is no evidence that loser countries are riskier than winner countries either in terms of standard deviations, covariance with the world market or other risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403316
This paper investigates the response of consumer price inflation to changes in domestic fuel prices, looking at the … findings stand out. First, the response of inflation to gasoline price shocks is smaller, but more persistent and broad … retail fuel prices to estimate the pass-through to inflation significantly underestimate it. Third, while the purchasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796185
currency by keeping inflation low and steady. This paper provides evidence that monetary policy tightening aimed at maintaining … low and stable inflation could at the same time reduce consumption inequality over a 12-18 month horizon, commonly … benefit mainly from lower inflation. By contrast, the real consumption of individuals at higher ends of the consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518926
Determining the magnitude and speed of the exchange rate passthrough (ERPT) to inflation has been of paramount …-makers should continue to pursue low and stable inflation and develop a strong track record of prudent macroeconomic policies for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613475
Based on VAR analyses across 26 countries, we show that, although foreign exchange intervention (FXI) is effective in stabilizing the nominal exchange rate in the short run, its impacts on the real exchange rate are less significant: Limitations on nominal exchange rate flexibility may induce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613705
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487229