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Japan faces the problem of how to finance retirement, health, and long-term care expenditures as the population ages … of Japan. We find that financing the costs of aging through gradual increases in the consumption tax rate delivers a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978385
/subsidy and a labor tax/subsidy. Labor shocks, such as the COVID-19 shock, amplify the policy responses, which critically depend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012302066
pressures at the peak of the demographic shock as much as increasing the retirement age in line with life expectancy (4 … percentage points of GDP). These reforms and prefunding the demographic shock mitigate the adverse macroeconomic effects of aging … those increasing the retirement age under alternative tax policies. The analysis is based on a model in the Auerbach …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400130
. We pick China as a case study since China has undergone a dramatic process of rapid aging and a tremendous reduction in … pension reform and rapid aging together contribute 55 percent of the increase in the household saving rate from 1995 to 2009 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009609
project sizable declines in aggregate participation rates over the next three decades due to the aging of the population …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011866359
While the COVID-19 pandemic is affecting all countries, output losses vary considerably across countries. We provide a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012517923
This paper studies the effect of demographic change on national saving, global interest rates, and international capital flows, focusing on the role of the public pension system. We develop a small open economy overlapping generations model to illustrate the channels through which demographic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978553
shock would improve the female share of employment by 0.28 percentage point during recessions. Our findings are driven by …Would countercyclical fiscal policy during recessions improve or worsen the gender employment gap? We give an answer to … countries. Using the local projection method, we find that, during recessions, a positive spending shock of 1 percent of GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012001474
Using panel data for a large number of countries, we find that economic contractions are not followed by offsetting fast recoveries. Trend output lost is not regained, on average. Wars, crises, and other negative shocks lead to absolute divergence and lower long-run growth, whereas we find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400694
This paper analyzes the sources of output and unemployment dynamics in the world economy during the Great Recession. This analysis is based on a panel unobserved components model of the world economy, disaggregated into its fifteen largest national economies. We find that excess supply pressure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402708