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One of the most puzzling facts in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) is that output across advanced and emerging economies recovered at a much slower rate than anticipated by most forecasting agencies. This paper delves into the mechanics behind the observed slow recovery and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012610732
We explore the stability properties of interest rate rules granting an explicit response to stock prices in a New-Keynesian DSGE model populated by Blanchard-Yaari non-Ricardian households. The constant turnover between long-time stock holders and asset-poor newcomers generates a financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014411926
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011282734
based on the probability of unrest in the following year derived from a machine learning model drawing on over 340 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796240
Following the Great Lockdown in 2020, it is important to take stock of lessons learned. How effective have different containment measures been in slowing the spread of Covid-19? Have containment measures been costly in terms of economic growth, fiscal balances, and accumulated debt? This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012604786
not its permanent and transitory components separately. The model''s predictions under learning differ substantially from … explanations of the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle, learning induces high correlations irrespective of the assumed persistence of shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400934
This paper considers optimal communication by monetary policy committees in a model of imperfect knowledge and learning … learning about the committee''s decision-making process and policy preferences. When committee members have heterogeneous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402811
benefits and limitations of central bank communications in a model of imperfect knowledge and learning. It is shown that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401641
Many observers argue that the world has changed after the latest financial crisis. If that is the case, monetary policy and the process informing it will have to be reconsidered and 'learned' anew by all stakeholders. Perhaps, a new Taylor rule will emerge. A 'Taylor rule' is predicated upon two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009325
This paper examines the growth performance of sub-Saharan African countries since 1960 through the lens of growth turning points (accelerations and decelerations) and periods of sustained growth (growth spells). Growth accelerations are generally associated with improved external conditions,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011742889