Appropriate risk management is crucial to ensure the competitiveness of financial institutions and the stability of the economy. One widely used financial risk measure is Value-at-Risk (VaR). VaR estimates based on linear and parametric models can lead to biased results or even underestimation...

In this paper, we propose a new class of regime shift models with exible switching mechanism that relies on a nonparametric probability function of the observed thresh- old variables. The proposed models generally embrace traditional threshold models with contaminated threshold variables or...

In this paper, we propose a new class of regime shift models with flexible switching mechanism that relies on a nonparametric probability function of the observed threshold variables. The proposed models generally embrace traditional threshold models with contaminated threshold variables or...

We develop a uniform test for detecting and dating explosive behavior of a strictly stationary GARCH(r, s) (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity) process. Namely, we test the null hypothesis of a globally stable GARCH process with constant parameters against an alternative...

This work aims to investigate the (inter)relations of information arrival, news sentiment, volatilities and jump dynamics of intraday returns. Two parametric GARCH-type jump models which explicitly incorporate both news arrival and news sentiment variables are proposed, among which one assumes...