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together are consistent with neither the rational expectations hypothesis nor reputation models with rational and strategic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008458107
Suppose competent economists obtain common information on business forecasts, and incompetent economists obtain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008602901
Using data on one-shot games, we investigate the assumption that players respond to underlying expectations about their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332249
-Keynesian model. Participants continuously provide forecasts for prices spanning multiple future periods. These forecasts determine … experiment deviate more from the rational expectations equilibrium prices under strategic complementarity than under strategic … substitution. Second, participants' expectations respond to announcements of future shocks on average. Finally, participants employ …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014540407
We examine whether inflation expectations obtained by open- and closed-ended questions lead to different inflation … expectations through a randomized controlled trial. We find that different questionnaires measure significantly different inflation … expectations, especially in the short term. We further investigate whether inflation expectations induce consumers to change the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014540520
expectations equilibrium level in periods prior to the intervention compared with the treatment without it. The participants …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012793787
We investigate how individuals use measures of apparent predictability from price charts to predict future market prices. Subjects in our experiment predict both random walk times series, as in the seminal work by Bloomfield & Hales (2002) (BH), and stock price time series. We successfully...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013472336
affected by QE in the rational expectations equilibrium. We find that QE raises bond prices above those in the benchmark …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012430045
The paper analyzes volatility of the electricity prices in the Japanese day-ahead market using realized volatility. We use several jump tests to decompose total realized variation into jump and continuous components. Then, we estimate several HAR models that show the time-dependence structure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012961444
Martin Stuart ("Marty") Feldstein, currently George F. Baker Professor of Economics at Harvard University and President Emeritus of the National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. (NBER), is a renowned American economist who has made important contributions to public finance, macroeconomics,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011421488