This paper analyses future trends for intrastate conflict in Africa up to 2050 using the International Futures (IFs) model. After reviewing the main post-Cold War patterns of conflict and instability on the continent, the paper discusses seven key correlations associated with intrastate conflict...

This paper presents three scenarios for South Africa up to 2030: ‘Bafana Bafana', ‘A Nation Divided' and ‘Mandela Magic'. The nation's current development pathway, called ‘Bafana Bafana' is the well-known story of a perennial underachiever, always playing in the second league when the...