Showing 1 - 10 of 232
We study optimal labor and savings distortions in a lifecycle model with idiosyncratic shocks. We show a tight …-based expressions for the dynamic optimal distortions. We derive a generalization of a savings distortion for non-separable preferences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117883
oversupply of savings. Other forces that work in the same direction and can both create or exacerbate the problem include a drop …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045296
The budget constraint requires that, eventually, consumption must adjust fully to any permanent shock to income. Intuition suggests that, knowing this, optimizing agents will fully adjust their spending immediately upon experiencing a permanent shock. However, this paper shows that if consumers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013151558
This paper examines the extent to which permanent terms-of-trade shocks have an asymmetric effect on private savings … in bad states of nature, savings rates will respond asymmetrically to favorable movements in the permanent component of … standard determinants of private savings. The results, based on panel data for non-oil commodity exporters of sub …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244885
We study the effect of releasing public information about productivity or monetary shocks when agents learn from nominal prices. While public releases have the benefit of providing new information, they can have the cost of reducing the informational efficiency of the price system. We show that,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770589
Recent events suggest that uncertainty changes play a major role in U.S. labor market fluctuations. This study analyzes the impact of uncertainty shocks on unemployment dynamics. Using a vector autoregression approach, we show that uncertainty shocks measured by stock market volatility have a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829214
Assessing the importance of uninsurable wage risk for individual financial choices faces two challenges. First, the … identification of the marginal effect requires a measure of at least one component of risk that cannot be diversified or avoided …. Moreover, measures of uninsurable wage risk must vary over time to eliminate unobserved heterogeneity. Second, evaluating the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978096
Uncertainty about the future rises in recessions. But is uncertainty a source of business cycles or an endogenous response to them, and does the type of uncertainty matter? We propose a novel SVAR identification strategy to address these questions via inequality constraints on the structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013010283
This paper studies the cyclical nature of individual income risk using a confidential dataset from the U.S. Social … average earnings (which is not the case during expansions). Finally, we find that the cyclical nature of income risk is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036930
The extent and direction of causation between micro volatility and business cycles are debated. We examine, empirically and theoretically, the source and effects of fluctuations in the dispersion of producer- level sales and production over the business cycle. On the theoretical side, we study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044984