Showing 1 - 10 of 270
The foreign exchange risk premium in an exchange rate target zone regime with devaluation/realignment risks is derived … devaluation/realignment risk, is taken into account. The risk premium is then the sum of two separate risk premia, arising from … real and nominal exchange rate premia are considered. The real and nominal risk premia from movements within the band are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222618
Swiss franc assets, together with the US stock market. The model is estimated constraining risk premia to depend on the time … variances cannot explain the observed time-variation of risk premia. Furthermore, the constraints imposed by the static CAPH are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141091
general-equilibrium theory of exchange rate determination based on the interaction between monetary policy and time … volatility shocks is consistent with the empirical evidence. Furthermore we show that risk factors and interest-rate smoothing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123697
a sticky-price alternative to Lucas's (1982) exchage rate risk premium model. We show that the level risk premium' in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232899
well documented facts, the failure of log-linear empirical exchange rate models of the 1970's and the variability of risk …, can have a significant effect on risk premiums in the foreign exchange market and can induce conditional volatility of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760244
Obstfeld and Rogoff (2001) propose that trade frictions lie behind key puzzles in international macroeconomics. We take a dynamic multicountry model of international trade, production, and investment to data from 19 countries to assess this proposition quantitatively. Using the framework...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013010717
national saving and a more competitive dollar. Although the necessary decline in the real value of the dollar can in theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776889
This paper measures the effects of the risk of war on nine U.S. financial variables using a heteroskedasticity …-based estimation technique. The results indicate that increases in the risk of war cause declines in Treasury yields and equity prices …, a widening of lower-grade corporate spreads, a fall in the dollar, and a rise in oil prices. This war risk factor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210541
We document the consequences of real exchange rate movements for the employment, hours, and hourly earnings of workers in manufacturing industries across individual states. Exchange rates have statistically significant wage and employment implications in these local labor markets. The importance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014193865
This paper examines whether short-term exchange rate expectations move "too much" by comparing them with long-term expectations. We develop a set of nonlinear restrictions linking expectations at different forecast horizons. The restrictions impose consistency, a property weaker than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014156785