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Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2011

This paper considers the problem of aggregation in the case of large linear dynamic panels, where each micro unit is potentially related to all other micro units, and where micro innovations are allowed to be cross sectionally dependent. Following Pesaran (2003), an optimal aggregate function is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129942

Nonresponse and Focal Point Answers to Subjective Probability Questions

Kleinjans, Kristin J. - 2010

We develop and estimate a panel data model explaining the answers to questions about subjective probabilities, using data from the US Health and Retirement Study. We explicitly account for nonresponse, rounding, and focal point 50 percent answers. Our results indicate that for three of the four...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136709

An Empirical Growth Model for Major Oil Exporters

Esfahani, Hadi Salehi - 2012

-run output equation with a coefficient equal to the share of capital (α). The long-run theory is tested using quarterly data on … results support the long-run theory. The existence of long-run relations between real output, foreign output and real oil … steadily over the past three decades, the theory suggests that the effect of oil income on the economy's steady state growth …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107701

Home Production and Retirement in Couples : A Panel Data Analysis

Bonsang, Eric - 2015

We analyse the effects of retirement of one partner on home production by both partners in a couple. Using longitudinal data from Germany on couples, we control for fixed household specific effects to address the concern that retirement decisions are correlated with unobserved characteristics...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016335

Modelling Volatilities and Conditional Correlations in Futures Markets with a Multivariate T Distribution

Pesaran, Bahram; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2021

This paper considers a multivariate t version of the Gaussian dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model proposed by Engle (2002), and suggests the use of devolatized returns computed as returns standardized by realized volatilities rather than by GARCH type volatility estimates. The t-DCC...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316934

Understanding Joint Retirement

Michaud, Pierre-Carl - 2018

Evidence from different sources shows that spouses' retirement decisions are correlated. Retirement policies affecting individuals in couples are therefore also likely to affect behavior of their spouses. It is therefore important to account for joint features in modeling retirement. This paper...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480683

Policy Rules for Inflation Targeting

Rudebusch, Glenn D. - 1998

Policy rules that are consistent with inflation targeting are examined in a small macroeconomic model of the US economy. We compare the properties and outcomes of explicit instrument rules' as well as targeting rules.' The latter, which imply implicit instrument rules, may be closer to actual...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472292

Inflation Targeting : Some Extensions

Svensson, Lars E. O. - 1997

Previous analysis of the implementation of inflation targeting is extended to monetary policy responses to different shocks, consequences of model uncertainty, effects of interest rate smoothing and stabilization, a comparison with nominal GDP targeting, and implications of forward-looking...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472859

New Techniques to Extract Market Expectations from Financial Instruments

Soderlind, Paul - 1997

This paper is a selective survey of new or recent methods to extract information about market expectations from asset prices for monetary policy purposes. Traditionally, interest rates and forward exchange rates have been used to extract expected means of future interest rates, exchange rates...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472951

Inflation Forecast Targeting : Implementing and Monitoring Inflation Targets

Svensson, Lars E. O. - 1996

Inflation targeting is shown to imply inflation forecast targeting: the central bank's inflation forecast becomes an explicit intermediate target. Inflation forecast targeting simplifies both implementation and monitoring of monetary policy. The weight on output stabilization determines how...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473036