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Minu, Startu and All that : Pitfalls in Estimating the Sensitivity of a Worker's Wage to Aggregate Unemployment

Martins, Pedro S. - 2011

In this paper we show that panel estimates of tenure specific sensitivity to the business cycle of wages is subject to serious pitfalls. Three canonical variates used in the literature – the minimum unemployment rate during a worker's time at the firm (min u), the unemployment rate at the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129919

Aggregation in Large Dynamic Panels

Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2011

This paper considers the problem of aggregation in the case of large linear dynamic panels, where each micro unit is potentially related to all other micro units, and where micro innovations are allowed to be cross sectionally dependent. Following Pesaran (2003), an optimal aggregate function is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129942

Nonresponse and Focal Point Answers to Subjective Probability Questions

Kleinjans, Kristin J. - 2010

We develop and estimate a panel data model explaining the answers to questions about subjective probabilities, using data from the US Health and Retirement Study. We explicitly account for nonresponse, rounding, and focal point 50 percent answers. Our results indicate that for three of the four...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136709

An Empirical Growth Model for Major Oil Exporters

Esfahani, Hadi Salehi - 2012

-run output equation with a coefficient equal to the share of capital (α). The long-run theory is tested using quarterly data on … results support the long-run theory. The existence of long-run relations between real output, foreign output and real oil … steadily over the past three decades, the theory suggests that the effect of oil income on the economy's steady state growth …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107701

Exports, Imports and Wages : Evidence from Matched Firm-Worker-Product Panels

Martins, Pedro S. - 2009

The analysis of the effects of firm-level international trade on wages has so far focused on the role of exports, which are also typically treated as a composite good. However, we show in this paper that firm-level imports can actually be a wage determinant as important as exports. Furthermore,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153015

Home Production and Retirement in Couples : A Panel Data Analysis

Bonsang, Eric - 2015

We analyse the effects of retirement of one partner on home production by both partners in a couple. Using longitudinal data from Germany on couples, we control for fixed household specific effects to address the concern that retirement decisions are correlated with unobserved characteristics...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016335

Modelling Volatilities and Conditional Correlations in Futures Markets with a Multivariate T Distribution

Pesaran, Bahram; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2021

This paper considers a multivariate t version of the Gaussian dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model proposed by Engle (2002), and suggests the use of devolatized returns computed as returns standardized by realized volatilities rather than by GARCH type volatility estimates. The t-DCC...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316934

Bias in Returns to Tenure When Firm Wages and Employment Comove : A Quantitative Assessment and Solution

Martins, Pedro S. - 2016

It is well known that, unless worker-firm match quality is controlled for, returns to firm tenure (RTT) estimated directly via reduced form wage (Mincer) equations will be biased. In this paper we argue that even if match quality is properly controlled for there is a further pervasive source of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995586

Employment Effects of Restricting Fixed-Term Contracts : Theory and Evidence

Cahuc, Pierre; Carry, Pauline; Malherbet, Franck; … - 2022

This paper examines a labor law reform implemented in Portugal in 2009 which restricted the use of fixed-term contracts to reduce labor market segmentation. The reform targeted establishments created by large firms above a specific size threshold, covering about 15% of total employment. Drawing...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083926