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The psychological basis for rank-dependent probability weighting, and for an inverse-S probability weighting function (PWF) in particular, has often been questioned. I examine the existence and shape of the PWF in a model allowing for optimism/pessimism over probability distributions and for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860507
We develop and estimate a panel data model explaining the answers to questions about subjective probabilities, using data from the US Health and Retirement Study. We explicitly account for nonresponse, rounding, and focal point 50 percent answers. Our results indicate that for three of the four...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136709
rather than another.In this paper, we develop a theory for ranking distribution functions. Our theory offers a general … distribution theory for empirical dominance criteria where it is demonstrated that the associated empirical processes converge in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061933
-gamblers). Our data failed to support our main hypotheses that experienced online gamblers would be more accurate Bayesian decision … comparisons between these types of participants also failed to show any difference in decision weights placed on the two …-reported gambling frequency was stronger for females. Decision modeling found a decreased weight placed on new evidence (over base rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014346673
Asymptotic and bootstrap tests are studied for testing whether there is a relation of stochastic dominance between two distributions. These tests have a null hypothesis of nondominance, with the advantage that, if this null is rejected, then all that is left is dominance. This also leads us to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014059083
', SWB has recently been compared to 'decision utility' using specific experiments, most often based on stated preferences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948690
Households' and firms' subjective inflation expectations play a central role in macroeconomic and intertemporal microeconomic models. We discuss how subjective inflation expectations are measured, the patterns they display, their determinants, and how they shape households' and firms' economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014030510
individual models presented in his theory of marriage. Decision-making models assuming independent individual household members …Much of the recent literature in household economics has been critical of unitary models of household decision … discusses another alternative: independent individual models of decision-making that don't make any specific assumptions of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139037
It takes a woman and a man to make a baby. This fact suggests that for a birth to take place, the parents should first agree on wanting a child. Using newly available data on fertility preferences and outcomes, we show that indeed, babies are likely to arrive only if both parents desire one, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996539
According to Chen's (2013) linguistic-savings hypothesis, languages which grammatically separate the future and the present (like English or Italian) induce less future-oriented behavior than languages in which speakers can refer to the future by using present tense (like German). We complement...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014019